Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.452577 0.583700 0.725980 0.889793 1.071337 1.264742 1.484815
2025-03-16 0.247704 0.413033 0.613741 0.864806 1.161771 1.494768 1.890012
2025-03-23 0.164629 0.341669 0.575971 0.885608 1.266326 1.705402 2.237996
2025-03-30 0.102516 0.277830 0.532969 0.888565 1.341198 1.875755 2.535697
2025-04-06 0.055806 0.217437 0.480897 0.868939 1.379565 1.995827 2.768555
2025-04-13 0.036739 0.196349 0.479789 0.912875 1.494712 2.206101 3.106240
2025-04-20 0.023376 0.179376 0.481041 0.957383 1.608753 2.413800 3.440013
2025-04-27 0.014780 0.168005 0.488669 1.009217 1.731280 2.631335 3.785287
2025-05-04 0.011398 0.170114 0.518446 1.092726 1.895532 2.900804 4.193595
2025-05-11 0.006353 0.160354 0.525550 1.141948 2.013595 3.112361 4.531645
2025-05-18 0.001635 0.139248 0.508532 1.153177 2.079348 3.257419 4.788179
2025-05-25 NaN 0.100430 0.449170 1.095006 2.047560 3.276869 4.889212
2025-06-01 NaN 0.065519 0.388394 1.032384 2.011463 3.295525 4.996891
2025-06-08 NaN 0.044221 0.349700 1.001425 2.017601 3.367645 5.170779
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036526 0.344071 1.024967 2.100582 3.538931 5.467650
2025-06-22 NaN 0.026847 0.327675 1.027872 2.152677 3.669193 5.712813
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016197 0.299595 1.006742 2.167725 3.749364 5.893968
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014837 0.308507 1.054176 2.284787 3.965372 6.247420
2025-07-13 NaN 0.013666 0.317746 1.102173 2.402763 4.182757 6.602862
2025-07-20 NaN 0.013328 0.331020 1.157967 2.532622 4.416248 6.979065
2025-07-27 NaN 0.016255 0.361771 1.247662 2.713873 4.718876 7.443584
2025-08-03 NaN 0.015552 0.373354 1.300426 2.839482 4.947082 7.813600
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011377 0.364130 1.312453 2.903312 5.092352 8.078018